Lawro's predictions v singer and Saints fan Craig David

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Lawro's predictions

Swansea have taken only four points from their past 10 league matches – will their form improve against a resurgent Crystal Palace on Saturday now they have sacked manager Paul Clement?

BBC Sport football expert Mark Lawrenson says: “Whoever made the decision to sack Clement will be hoping for an upturn in performance from the Swansea players, in the same way they recovered to stay up last season.

“Judging from the way Palace have improved since Roy Hodgson replaced Frank de Boer[1] in September, they are going to do exactly that.

“Palace did not have a goal, let alone a point, when Hodgson took charge – now look at them. They are a team that is really on the up.”

Lawro is going for a 2-1 Palace win – do you agree? You can make your own predictions now, take on Lawro and other fans, create your own league and try to make it to the top of the table by playing the new-look BBC Sport Predictor game.[2]

Table showing the overall leaderboard of the BBC predictions game, and Lawro's position in it, after week 18

Lawro scored 60 points in week 18, which meant he slipped to 3,318th place out of more than 335,000 users.

He will be making a prediction for all 380 top-flight games this season, against a variety of guests.

This week, Lawro takes on singer-songwriter Craig David.

David is a Southampton fan, who grew up watching them play at their former home, The Dell.

He told BBC Sport: “I saw some of the most amazing players come through at Southampton, and mostly get sold on to bigger clubs.

“It’s a hard call on who is my all-time favourite Saints player. I mean we’ve had Alan Shearer, and Tim Flowers was a great goalkeeper but I’d say it has to be Matthew Le Tissier.

“Man, his touch, his goals – wow. When I say they were on a level with Lionel Messi, people say that is debatable but look at some of his free-kicks.

“Le Tissier’s goal against Newcastle in 1993 is my favourite moment as a Southampton fan. The ball was played to him and he flicked it over one guy’s head, then another and then, rather than blasting it into the back of the net, placed it.

“That was what Le Tissier pretty much represented. Just cool, classy, goals.”

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Of the current Saints players, Ryan Bertrand is among David’s favourites.

“I have a bit of an affiliation with him anyway because I know his brother really well,” David added. “But Ryan is a player I have been watching and following and he is doing fantastic.

“As a team, we always kind of hold a good place even if we are in transition after changing managers – but we still tend to sell some of our players a little bit too quickly.”

Premier League predictions – week 19
Result Lawro Craig
FRIDAY
Arsenal v Liverpool 3-3 2-2 1-1
SATURDAY
Everton v Chelsea x-x 0-2 1-2
Brighton v Watford x-x 2-0 2-0
Man City v Bournemouth x-x 3-0 3-0
Southampton v Huddersfield x-x 1-1 3-1
Stoke v West Brom x-x 1-1 2-2
Swansea v Crystal Palace x-x 1-2 0-2
West Ham v Newcastle x-x 2-0 0-0
Burnley v Tottenham x-x 0-2 1-3
Leicester v Man Utd x-x 0-2 1-3

A correct result (picking a win, draw or defeat) is worth 10 points. The exact score earns 40 points.

LAWRO’S PREDICTIONS

All kick-offs 15:00 GMT unless otherwise stated.

FRIDAY

Arsenal v Liverpool

Arsenal 3-3 Liverpool

Liverpool v Arsenal – recent Premier League matches
Date Venue Score
22 December 2017 Emirates Stadium 3-3 draw
27 August 2017 Anfield Liverpool won 4-0
4 March 2017 Anfield Liverpool won 3-1
14 August 2016 Emirates Stadium Liverpool won 4-3
13 January 2016 Anfield 3-3 draw

Lawro’s prediction: 2-2

Craig’s prediction: 1-1

Match report[3]

SATURDAY

Everton v Chelsea

Everton v Chelsea (12:30 GMT)

Everton’s results have picked up under Sam Allardyce but this represents his biggest test since he took charge.

Some people might question that and say well, what about the derby, but Allardyce knew that Liverpool would come at his side and he could plan for that.

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There will be some expectation that his side get down the other end of the pitch more in this game and have more of a go, and I think they will be slightly more open than they were at Anfield.

Chelsea are without suspended striker Alvaro Morata,[4] which will probably mean Blues boss Antonio Conte will play with a false number nine, and I still think they will be dangerous.

Lawro’s prediction: 0-2

Craig’s prediction: Everton doing well but Chelsea should still win this one. 1-2

Brighton v Watford

Brighton v Watford

It was only a few weeks ago that everyone was talking about what a good job Marco Silva was doing at Watford, and Everton wanted him as their new manager.

But it is just typical of the Premier League that, just when you think you have cracked it, then wallop – you get a smack in the face.

That has happened to the Hornets, who have taken only one point from their past five games, and seven from their past 10. Although they are still in the top half of the table, they are looking down at the moment, not up.

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Brighton are four points behind them, and are probably in the position now where points in these sort of fixtures, at home, and what I would call winnable games, are extremely important.

The Seagulls missed a penalty against Burnley last week in another game like this, that meant they only got one point instead of three. I think they will get the win this time, though.

Lawro’s prediction: 2-0

Craig’s prediction: Watford are a good team but I think Brighton will bring that sort of south coast vibe, and beat them. 2-0

Man City v Bournemouth

Man City v Bournemouth

Bournemouth’s defence kind of disappeared to allow Chelsea to score their last-gasp winner[5] in the Carabao Cup on Tuesday, but that has been happening a lot this season.

Manchester City won again, on penalties against Leicester,[6] in the same competition and it is hard to see the Cherries stopping them on Saturday.

Premier League table - top six snapshot: Man City in 1st, Man Utd 2nd, Chelsea 3rd, Liverpool 4th, Arsenal 5th and Burnley in 6th place

Looking at City’s games over the festive period after this one – Newcastle (away), Crystal Palace (away) and Watford (home), I don’t see any slip-ups on the horizon for Pep Guardiola’s side.

But I don’t think it will matter if City do drop some points in the next couple of weeks, because I am pretty sure the same thing will happen to the teams immediately below them too.

Lawro’s prediction: 3-0

Craig’s prediction: Bournemouth are going to be doing a lot of defending. 3-0

Southampton v Huddersfield

Southampton v Huddersfield

I have been getting some stick from Huddersfield fans, because the Terriers are still waiting for me to predict a win for them this season.

They are bottom of the table based on my predictions – and I am not backing them to get three points this week, either.

I do think they will get something at St Mary’s Stadium, though. Southampton have had just one win in nine and I think a point would be a decent return for Huddersfield.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-1

Craig’s prediction: I personally think Saints boss Mauricio Pellegrino is doing great. I mean he has arrived as our manager and has had to work out very quickly what the philosophy of the club is, and how it plays, and get the respect of the players as well.

Managers come and go, but we always seem to hold our own – I think there is a great spirit in the city of Southampton that makes that club great, because we have been down in League One and worked our way all the way back to the Premier League.

In terms of the game, I am going for a comfortable Southampton win. Huddersfield will score, but it will only be late on. 3-1

Stoke v West Brom

Stoke v West Brom

I felt a bit sorry for Stoke last week, with the way West Ham got their penalty for their first goal, but that is the kind of luck you get when you are near the bottom of the table.

Premier League - bottom six snapshot: West Ham in 15th, Bournemouth in 16th, Stoke in 17th, Newcastle in 18th, West Brom in 19th and Swansea in 20th

Both of these sides are pretty desperate for a win – Potters boss Mark Hughes remains under pressure, while West Brom manager Alan Pardew is still waiting for his first victory.

So I am going to go for another draw. I think it will end up 1-1, and the game will not be a classic.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-1

Craig’s prediction: I think it will be a scrappy game with a lot of goals. 2-2

Swansea v Crystal Palace

Swansea v Crystal Palace

It appears that caretaker manager Leon Britton will be in charge of Swansea for this game, after Paul Clement was sacked[7] on Wednesday.

This is the third year running that Swansea have sacked their manager in December, following Garry Monk in 2016[8] and Bob Bradley last year[9] – so whoever gets the job permanently will probably be relieved if they see out the year.

Swansea used to be such a well-run club, but that is not the way you would describe them at the moment.

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Everything that was good about them, including their passing game that they played whoever was in charge, seems to have disappeared.

Lawro’s prediction: 1-2

Craig’s prediction: I am going to go with Palace on this one. 0-2

West Ham v Newcastle

West Ham v Newcastle

West Ham are another team that have turned the corner.

They have to be a bit careful here, because Newcastle are on such a bad run – the Hammers cannot afford to think they can just turn up.

But I can understand why they are confident, because David Moyes has got his mojo back.

Watching him now, it reminds me of when he started out as a manager with Preston – that hunger and enthusiasm is back, his whole demeanour. He is on the warpath.

Newcastle are trying to strengthen, starting by trying to take Kenedy on loan from Chelsea. He would be a good addition, but they still need a centre-forward – and quickly.

Lawro’s prediction: 2-0

Craig’s prediction: This will definitely be a draw. 0-0

Burnley v Tottenham

Burnley v Tottenham

Tottenham got battered by Manchester City last week and they don’t usually do well on the road against teams who are above them in the table.

Burnley have been on such a good run but they were probably relieved to get a point at Brighton last week, and I just wonder if the festive period might be hiccup time for the Clarets.

Lawro’s prediction: 0-2

Craig’s prediction: 1-3

Leicester v Man Utd

Leicester v Man Utd

Manchester United manager Jose Mourinho made lots of changes in his side’s Carabao Cup defeat by Bristol City, and paid the price.

You cannot keep chopping and changing your team, because it makes it impossible to get any kind of rhythm.

City were a fantastic example of the Championship, especially in their approach. Instead of just sitting there and trying to pick United off, I thought they went for it.

Mourinho was mealy-mouthed afterwards, saying they had more luck than United. Whatever.

That defeat means United cannot retain any of the silverware they won last season – the Community Shield, League Cup and Europa League.

I don’t think they are going to win the Premier League or the Champions League this season. So now, if Mourinho wants to win a trophy, they have obviously got to win the FA Cup.

So that definitely puts a little bit more pressure on them.

Leicester also lost out in midweek, going down to Manchester City in the Carabao Cup. I think they will make life difficult for Mourinho’s side, but United will win.

Lawro’s prediction: 0-2

Craig’s prediction: You never know what Leicester are going to do, but I think United will take this one. 1-3

Lawro was speaking to BBC Sport’s Chris Bevan

How did Lawro do last time?

From last weekend’s Premier League games, Lawro got six correct results, with no perfect scores, from 10 matches, for a total of 60 points.

He lost to actor and WWE star John Cena who got five correct results, including one perfect score, giving him a total of 80 points.[10]

Total scores after week 18
Lawro 1,550
Guests 1,320
Lawro v Guests
P18 W10 D2 L6
SCORE GUEST LEADERBOARD
160 Chris Shiflett
130 James Anderson**, Joe Johnson***
120 Will Poulter, Moeen Ali
100 Cesaro & Seamus, Wretch 32
86 Lawro (average after 18 weeks)
80 John Cena
70 Brendan Foster*, Mark Strong
60 Will Ferrell, Nish Kumar, Non Stanford, Rick Witter
50 Steve Cram, Michael Dapaah, Channing Tatum, Osi Umenyiora and Jason Bell, Joe Root
30 Felix White
20 Richard Osman

*Foster and Cram both provided predictions on week one, but only Foster’s score contributes to the guest total.

**Anderson and Moeen both provided predictions on week nine, but only Anderson’s score contributes to the guest total.

***Witter and Johnson both provided predictions on week 17, but only Johnson’s score contributes to the guest total.

Lawro’s best score: 150 points (week eight v Wretch 32)

Lawro’s worst score: 40 points (week four v Umenyiora and Bell, and week five v Non Stanford)

Lawro's League Table
+/- DENOTE POSITION DIFFERENCE BETWEEN LAWRO’S TABLE AND ACTUAL POSITION
POS TEAM P W D L PTS +/-
1 Man Utd 18 14 4 0 46 +1
2 Man City 18 14 3 1 45 -1
3 Liverpool 18 13 5 0 44 +1
4 Tottenham 18 13 5 0 44 +3
5 Chelsea 18 11 5 2 38 -2
6 Arsenal 18 9 7 2 34 -1
7 Southampton 18 8 4 6 28 +5
8 Bournemouth 18 6 4 8 22 +8
9 West Ham 18 4 10 4 22 +6
10 Burnley 18 5 6 7 21 -4
11 Leicester 18 5 5 8 20 -3
12 Everton 18 5 4 9 19 -3
13 Stoke 18 4 7 7 19 +4
14 Crystal Palace 18 5 3 10 18 0
15 West Brom 18 5 2 11 17 +4
16 Swansea 18 5 1 12 16 +4
17 Newcastle 18 3 6 9 15 +1
18 Watford 18 2 4 12 10 -8
19 Brighton 18 1 6 11 9 -6
20 Huddersfield 18 0 4 14 4 -9

References

  1. ^ replaced Frank de Boer (www.bbc.co.uk)
  2. ^ the new-look BBC Sport Predictor game. (www.bbc.co.uk)
  3. ^ Match report (www.bbc.co.uk)
  4. ^ suspended striker Alvaro Morata, (www.bbc.co.uk)
  5. ^ their last-gasp winner (www.bbc.co.uk)
  6. ^ on penalties against Leicester, (www.bbc.co.uk)
  7. ^ Paul Clement was sacked (www.bbc.co.uk)
  8. ^ Garry Monk in 2016 (www.bbc.co.uk)
  9. ^ Bob Bradley last year (www.bbc.co.uk)
  10. ^ actor and WWE star John Cena (www.bbc.co.uk)

BBC Sport – Football